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According to the strategy report of Guojin Securities, compared with previous "spring restlessness" markets, such as 2006, 2009, 2016 and 2019, there will be a high probability of "spring restlessness" in 2025. Specific reasons: (1) At present, the domestic economy tends to improve, and it is expected that the current domestic fundamental improvement cycle will last at least until the first quarter of 2025; (2) Effective market flow tends to improve; (3) Inflation has not risen significantly, the discount rate remains low, and the turning point of PPI may be in July next year, and the fastest turning point will be in September next year; (4) The valuation is reasonable or even at a low level; (5)ERP is at a stage high point, and has more room for downward convergence-as of November 20, 2024, both EPR and "stock-debt yield difference" indicate that A-share risk appetite has much room for improvement.[Institutions are optimistic about the three major directions of 2025! 】[Institutions are optimistic about the three major directions of 2025! 】

Soochow securities's 2025 A-share investment strategy outlook report recently holds that under the background of Trump's victory in accelerating the rise of trade protectionism and weak domestic economic recovery, 2025 will be a fiscal year, and incremental policies are expected to continue to increase; At the same time, the Fed's interest rate cut will benefit A shares from three dimensions: policy space, fundamentals and liquidity. Soochow securities judged that China's assets will continue to be repaired in 2025.Where are the possible opportunities?What do institutions think of the trend of A shares next year?

Central china securities believes that the grasp of the operation and investment of the A-share market in 2025 should at least follow two major trends at the macro level: (1) the "Trump 2.0" policy from the outside, especially the intensity and progress of tariff increase; (2) The strength and continuous progress of domestic countercyclical control policies. In terms of industry configuration, we can focus on four main lines: (1) new productivity-related sectors such as self-control of science and technology and acceleration of domestic substitution, such as frontier technical fields such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new chemical materials and related equipment segmentation fields; (2) consumption and infrastructure sectors related to promoting domestic demand, such as smart driving product industrial chain, smart home, pet products, ships, construction machinery, etc.; (3) Supply optimization and demand recovery have led to an inflection point in the prosperity of the industry, such as photovoltaic and lithium batteries; (4) Theme concepts related to deepening the reform of the capital market and promoting listed companies to enhance their investment value, such as mergers and acquisitions, cash dividends and market value management, such as construction, coal, transportation, banking and other industries with concentrated net losses or low valuation characteristics.According to the 2025 strategic outlook report of Everbright Securities, from the historical perspective, whether the market rising power comes from the improvement of profitability or the expected improvement, profitability is usually an important factor in industry selection. In addition to profitability, risk appetite also has an impact on industry performance, especially for markets driven by expected improvement. It is expected that the market style will swing between balance and growth in 2025. In terms of industry configuration, Everbright Securities suggests focusing on two main lines: profit repair and high-risk preference varieties. The main line of profit repair focuses on the direction of domestic demand, such as food and beverage, medicine and biology, and social services. The main line of high-risk preference varieties focuses on high-beta industries (medicine, food and beverage, basic chemical industry, nonferrous metals, etc.), high-profit expected industries (TMT, military industry, etc.) and theme investments (policy-supported themes, such as mergers and acquisitions, market value management; Science and technology topics, such as AI industrial chain and self-controllable).Central china securities believes that the grasp of the operation and investment of the A-share market in 2025 should at least follow two major trends at the macro level: (1) the "Trump 2.0" policy from the outside, especially the intensity and progress of tariff increase; (2) The strength and continuous progress of domestic countercyclical control policies. In terms of industry configuration, we can focus on four main lines: (1) new productivity-related sectors such as self-control of science and technology and acceleration of domestic substitution, such as frontier technical fields such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new chemical materials and related equipment segmentation fields; (2) consumption and infrastructure sectors related to promoting domestic demand, such as smart driving product industrial chain, smart home, pet products, ships, construction machinery, etc.; (3) Supply optimization and demand recovery have led to an inflection point in the prosperity of the industry, such as photovoltaic and lithium batteries; (4) Theme concepts related to deepening the reform of the capital market and promoting listed companies to enhance their investment value, such as mergers and acquisitions, cash dividends and market value management, such as construction, coal, transportation, banking and other industries with concentrated net losses or low valuation characteristics.